Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.689175 13.207468 14.860220 16.794851 18.999819 21.437473 24.340589
2025-02-16 8.549981 10.418705 12.621179 15.416045 18.879049 23.042977 28.450356
2025-02-23 6.745491 8.751014 11.276372 14.705991 19.267545 25.161141 33.409664
2025-03-02 5.580070 7.634322 10.371030 14.310825 19.882446 27.546929 39.004829
2025-03-09 4.803822 6.883654 9.794289 14.205064 20.791031 30.371945 45.569268
2025-03-16 4.204607 6.276153 9.304315 14.107739 21.637729 33.158223 52.442372
2025-03-23 3.863650 5.988536 9.222387 14.574774 23.356017 37.442861 62.255097
2025-03-30 3.488066 5.591367 8.909999 14.616943 24.373467 40.714172 70.869971
2025-04-06 3.101875 5.124872 8.422228 14.292314 24.710393 42.859440 77.817597
2025-04-13 2.792031 4.744333 8.024230 14.055376 25.142163 45.186524 85.395296
2025-04-20 2.629317 4.593129 7.992372 14.446780 26.733824 49.787499 97.957875
2025-04-27 2.473785 4.435137 7.926887 14.761019 28.209639 54.349935 111.144392
2025-05-04 2.292782 4.217403 7.740366 14.846369 29.300082 58.405059 124.173949
2025-05-11 2.077987 3.914185 7.363148 14.517792 29.527333 60.771364 134.038458
2025-05-18 1.897506 3.656976 7.045179 14.267410 29.880989 63.452053 145.087773
2025-05-25 1.744409 3.436774 6.774952 14.080054 30.340151 66.421473 157.335450
2025-06-01 1.625751 3.272804 6.599014 14.068647 31.180645 70.357590 172.625473
2025-06-08 1.515204 3.113680 6.415292 14.015941 31.917273 74.156871 188.267897
2025-06-15 1.462462 3.070228 6.469744 14.501126 33.973883 81.401846 214.254907
2025-06-22 1.377787 2.949127 6.343146 14.553215 34.994772 86.253197 234.712359
2025-06-29 1.272339 2.771758 6.073698 14.234774 35.053217 88.668382 248.799906
2025-07-06 1.183196 2.622062 5.850950 14.001024 35.291317 91.578195 264.863661
2025-07-13 1.144325 2.583401 5.879518 14.391874 37.212826 99.303544 296.934952